| Improve Your Soccer Betting is a series of articles | | | | 0+0+9+12+15+6+0+8+27+30 = 107 Bolton L W W |
| that describe some well known and well used | | | | W D L L W W L This gives 0*1 + 3*2 + 3*3 + 3*4 |
| statistical techniques that will help the soccer punter | | | | + 1*5 + 0*6 + 0*7 + 3*8 + 3*9 + 0*10 this equals |
| make more informed bets. Each of the techniques | | | | 0+6+9+12+5+0+0+24+27+0 = 83 Therefore the |
| has its own advantages and disadvantages and using | | | | difference is 107 - 83 = +24 This could be |
| them in isolation will improve your chances of winning. | | | | determined as a home win but depending on your |
| However, together they will prove invaluable in your | | | | chosen threshold levels could be classed as a draw. |
| battle with the bookies. In each article we will | | | | Now it's your turn... Of course you may choose to |
| describe in detail how a particular method works | | | | use different values to those shown above and by |
| giving you enough information for you to go ahead | | | | experimenting you may come up with better values |
| and create your own forecasts. We will also give you | | | | to use. You may also choose to use all home and |
| information as to where you can already find | | | | away games played by each team in your calculations |
| websites that use this technique in comprising their | | | | instead of just home games for the home team and |
| weekly soccer betting forecasts. The statistical | | | | away games for the away team. You may choose |
| methods described in this set of articles will help you | | | | to have different thresholds than those shown |
| to arrive at a better decision about the match, or | | | | above. You may also find it beneficial to plot actual |
| matches, that you are betting on. In this article we | | | | results against the Simple Sequence method |
| will be describing the well known Simple Sequence | | | | predictions to see how many actual draws fall in the |
| method. The Simple Sequence method is not just a | | | | away win, draw, and home win prediction zones. If |
| single method, there are many ways of devising a | | | | you have the necessary skills you could go away and |
| simple sequence method, and you could probably | | | | build your own spreadsheet of data or even write a |
| devise one of your own. The way the Simple | | | | piece of software to take in results and fixtures and |
| Sequence method is implemented in the | | | | apply the Simple Sequence method to your data. Or, |
| Footyforecast 2.0 software and on the 1X2Monster | | | | if you're lazy like me, you could grab some free |
| website is to use a weighting factor on each of a | | | | software that already does this for you. 1X2Monster |
| series of games. Here are the basic rules... A number | | | | and Footyforecast have been providing this kind of |
| of matches are used to look back at from the | | | | facility since 1999. A total of seven different |
| forecast date. So let's say our team has the following | | | | statistical methods are used to determine the |
| results (most recent on the right hand side): W D L L | | | | outcome of each game played in each league, and a |
| W This would give them the following points: 3 + 1 + | | | | comprehensive record of how each method in each |
| 0 + 0 + 3 = 7 Now to take into account current | | | | game performed is kept. Apart from how each tip |
| form each is given a weighting factor, so the oldest | | | | performed within its respective league 1X2Monster |
| match is multiplied by 1 up to the most recent match | | | | also provides the league tables of how each league |
| being multiplied by 5. Of course this will vary | | | | has performed in successfully predicting outcomes of |
| depending upon the number of matches you use, but | | | | games. The league tables of prediction performance |
| for this example it gives us the following: 3*1 + 1*2 + | | | | are produced for home win predictions, draw |
| 0*3 + 0*4 + 3*5 = 20 points Now let's say the away | | | | predictions, away win predictions, and for overall |
| team playing against the team above have the | | | | predictions and are invaluable tools to the soccer |
| following record: W W D D D They will have: 3*1 + | | | | punter when deciding where to target their European |
| 3*2 + 1*3 + 1*4 + 1*5 = 21 points. The points | | | | soccer betting predictions. Here is a list of all the |
| difference HOME v AWAY = 20 - 21 = -1. Now, | | | | articles in this series... How To Make A Profit From |
| depending how you classify this it could represent an | | | | FREE 1X2 Soccer Picks Improve Your Soccer Betting |
| away win, i.e. all matches below a points difference | | | | Using The Rateform Method Improve Your Soccer |
| of 0 = away win, or it could be classed as a draw. | | | | Betting Using The Footyforecast Method Improve |
| Let's look at a simple example... For our example we | | | | Your Soccer Betting Using The Win Draw Loss |
| will use the last ten games played for each team. | | | | Method Improve Your Soccer Betting Using The |
| That's the last ten home games for the home side, | | | | Simple Sequence Method Improve Your Soccer |
| and the last ten away games for the away side. The | | | | Betting Using The Score Prediction Method Improve |
| match is between Middlesbrough and Bolton | | | | Your Soccer Betting Using The Superiority Method |
| Wanderers in the English Premiership played on 20th | | | | Malcolm Nossiter is the owner of and He has been |
| Jan 2007. Middlesbrough L L W W W D L D W W | | | | providing hundreds of 1X2 tips every week since |
| This gives 0*1 + 0*2 + 3*3 + 3*4 + 3*5 + 1*6 + | | | | 1999. Please visit for a fountain of information on |
| 0*7 + 1*8 + 3*9 + 3*10 This equals | | | | soccer betting. |